There’s a new No. 1 among 2020 Democrats


Take a look at the 2018 Democratic primary season and three things immediately leap out at you:

Women are winning. Everywhere. According to Cook Political Report House editor David Wasserman, in open Democratic House primaries with at least one man and one woman running, women have won 69% of the time.

Liberals are winning. From Andrew Gillum in Florida’s governor’s race to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Ayanna Pressley in the House, candidates positioning themselves as unapologetic progressives are meeting with success.

People of color are winning. Gillum is one of three African-American nominees for governor in 2018, a historic number. (Stacey Abrams in Georgia and Ben Jealous in Maryland are the other two.)

We are nothing if not mindful of the the messages voters are sending at the ballot box. Because of that, we are crowning a new king — er, queen — in our monthly rankings of the 10 people most likely to wind up as the Democratic nominee for president against Donald Trump in 2020.

We won’t spoil the surprise — you’ll have to scroll down to do that — but will tell you that Joe Biden has been knocked out of the top spot. While Biden still leads in most hypothetical polling of the Democratic field and will likely benefit from a decent chunk of Barack Obama’s support network if he runs, the former vice president looks like a very odd fit for what Democratic voters seem to be drawn to these days. He’s a white guy who was in the Senate for more than four decades. He’s 75 and will be 77 on Election Day 2020. (He’ll turn 78 shortly after that election.)

None of that means Biden can’t win. It just means that, at least at the moment, his profile is a mismatch for the Democratic Party base.
Without further ado, our list of the 10 potential candidates — including Biden! — with the best chances of claiming the nomination.

[Read More]